St. Totteringham’s Day

Yesterday, Arsenal’s ten men came back to draw against Spurs in arguable the most important North London derby in living memory. Before the match my good friend, who is a Leicester fan, suggested an Arsenal victory would have been an ideal result, as it would have left Leicester three points clear of both North London teams, with a game in hand. I argued that a draw was ideal, as it left fewer serious competitors for the title race.

In looking into the numbers, I discovered the concept of St. Totteringham’s Day. This is the day upon which Tottenham mathematically are unable to beat Arsenal in the Premier League. Given that Arsenal have beaten Spurs for the last 20 seasons, there has been such a day in each of those years.

In these years, the earliest it took place was in 2007/08, when Spurs were unable to surpass their rivals on 8 March 2008. (Spurs finished 11th in the table, to Arsenal’s third.) The latest was on 19 May 2013, the last day of the 2012/13 season, when Arsenal secured third spot, one point ahead of fourth-place Spurs.

Here’s my visualisation of the history. I wonder whether there’ll be such a day in this 2015/16 season.

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